Poll: McCain Catching Up In Battlegrounds
Jul 31, 2020171.2K Shares2.6M Views
New polling data from Quinnipiac Universityindicates Sen. John McCain is closing in on Sen. Barack Obama among likely voters in three key swing states — Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania. From the press release:
- Florida: Obama has 46 percent to McCain’s 44 percent [with a margin of error of +/- 2.8 percentage points], compared to a 47 - 43 percent Obama lead June 18;
- Ohio: Obama has 46 percent to McCain’s 44 percent [+/- 2.8 percentage points], compared to a 48 - 42 percent Obama lead least time;
- Pennsylvania: Obama leads McCain 49 - 42 percent [+/- 2.7 percentage points], compared to 52 - 40 percent.
The poll found that among independent voters McCain holds a five-point lead in Florida and is up by two points in Ohio. The data contains one bit of good news for Obama — Pennsylvania independents favor him by 11 points over McCain. Of course, Sen. John Kerry carried Pennsylvaniain 2004 — but lost Ohio and Florida — so holding it will not bring Obama any closer to the presidency. But if Obama can hold all the states Kerry won in 2004, and pick up either Florida or Ohio — which have 27 and 20 electoral votes, respectively — he will win the election.
These new numbers indicate that despite Obama’s domination of the media coverage last week with his trip to the Middle East and Europe — which was almost all positive — it hasn’t boosted his numbers in the biggest battleground states, where McCain has been running his negative ads. According to FactCheck.org, many of these ads contained false or misleading information about Obama — which suggests McCain is not paying a price for his campaign’s deceptive practices and reinforces the axiom that politicians "go negative" for one big reason: it works.
Paolo Reyna
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Paolo Reyna is a writer and storyteller with a wide range of interests. He graduated from New York University with a Bachelor of Arts in Journalism and Media Studies.
Paolo enjoys writing about celebrity culture, gaming, visual arts, and events. He has a keen eye for trends in popular culture and an enthusiasm for exploring new ideas. Paolo's writing aims to inform and entertain while providing fresh perspectives on the topics that interest him most.
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