NJ-Gov: Corzine in the Lead
The new Rutgers-Eagleton poll for New Jersey’s gubernatorial race piles more bad news onto the campaign of Republican candidate Chris Christie, seen just a few
Jul 31, 202055.9K Shares2.3M Views
The new Rutgers-Eagleton pollfor New Jersey’s gubernatorial race piles more bad news onto the campaign of Republican candidate Chris Christie, seen just a few months back as the all-but-certain next governor of the state. The topline numbers are bad enough: Christie trails Gov. Jon Corzine (D-N.J.) by three points, 39 percent to 36 percent, while independent candidate Chris Daggett comes in at a shockingly high 20 percent. But the candidates’ favorable numbers are just as ominous. Christie has fallen to a 39 percent favorable rating, with 42 percent unfavorable. That’s better than Corzine’s 40-52 negative rating, but it indicates that the long, negative campaign has tarnished Christie. It’s a function of a three-way race where one candidate, Daggett, can come off like a white knight and amplify criticism of one candidate. Corzine’s attacks have worked: Among voters concerned about the economy, Corzine crushes Christie by a margin of 57 percent to 24 percent.
I see a little more bad news for Christie here. The smart take on the race is that if Daggett polls around 13 percent or above, Christie loses — the Democratic base is just too large to let Corzine fall below 43 or 44 percent. If Daggett is not fading, and if on Election Day he can stay in the high teens, Christie’s task looks incredibly hard. Also, this poll has Corzine scoring only 74 percent of the African-American vote; most expect him to do at least 10 points better.
Dexter Cooke
Reviewer
Dexter Cooke is an economist, marketing strategist, and orthopedic surgeon with over 20 years of experience crafting compelling narratives that resonate worldwide.
He holds a Journalism degree from Columbia University, an Economics background from Yale University, and a medical degree with a postdoctoral fellowship in orthopedic medicine from the Medical University of South Carolina.
Dexter’s insights into media, economics, and marketing shine through his prolific contributions to respected publications and advisory roles for influential organizations.
As an orthopedic surgeon specializing in minimally invasive knee replacement surgery and laparoscopic procedures, Dexter prioritizes patient care above all.
Outside his professional pursuits, Dexter enjoys collecting vintage watches, studying ancient civilizations, learning about astronomy, and participating in charity runs.
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