GOP Upset in California Special Election Looking Unlikely
The NY-23 special election has gotten so much attention that a special election in California, for the seat of now-Undersecretary of State Ellen Tauscher, has
Jul 31, 2020277.5K Shares7.7M Views
The NY-23 special election has gotten so much attention that a special election in California, for the seat of now-Undersecretary of State Ellen Tauscher, has fallen off the the radar. There are Republicans who look at the race in CA-10 as a possible back-breaker for Democrats — former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, for example, has focused his PAC’s attention there. But a new pollsuggests that Lt. Gov. John Garamendi (D-Calif.) is on track to easily win the seat over Republican candidate David Harmer.
Overall, Garamendi holds a 10-point lead in the district. That’s a fairly poor performance for a Democrat — voters here gave the Obama-Biden ticket a landslide 32-point victory over the John McCain and Sarah Palin — but it’s enough to elect Garamendi. Among voters who’ve already cast ballots — more than half of the electorate — Garamendi leads 51 percent to 41 percent. Among late-deciders, he leads 49-40. And SurveyUSA, which often produces strange numbers in its small samples of non-white voters, finds Garamendi only leading by six points with African-Americans. His real lead with those voters is doubtlessly much larger.
If Harmer grabs more than 40 percent of the vote here, Republicans will call it a moral victory. But the larger impact will be on the 2010 GOP gubernatorial primary. Garamendi would resign his office to start serving in Congress, giving Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger (R-Calif.) the power to appoint a new lieutenant governor. If, as some expect, he appoints former GOP Congressman Tom Campbell, that would give the conservative a leg up in the June 2010 primary.
Dexter Cooke
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Dexter Cooke is an economist, marketing strategist, and orthopedic surgeon with over 20 years of experience crafting compelling narratives that resonate worldwide.
He holds a Journalism degree from Columbia University, an Economics background from Yale University, and a medical degree with a postdoctoral fellowship in orthopedic medicine from the Medical University of South Carolina.
Dexter’s insights into media, economics, and marketing shine through his prolific contributions to respected publications and advisory roles for influential organizations.
As an orthopedic surgeon specializing in minimally invasive knee replacement surgery and laparoscopic procedures, Dexter prioritizes patient care above all.
Outside his professional pursuits, Dexter enjoys collecting vintage watches, studying ancient civilizations, learning about astronomy, and participating in charity runs.
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