“„If the enthusiasm of the audience is any indication, ISCI and its affiliates are poised to do well at the polls, a development that some fear would exacerbate a bitter intra-Shiite struggle for power between ISCI and its allies and the movement of Shiite cleric Moqtada al-Sadr.
“„“The Supreme Council and its allies are in the forefront now while the Sadrists are absent, but we can see signs already that the struggle among the Shiite religious parties will turn into a violent and armed one again, especially in the south,” says Azer Naji, director of strategic and political studies at a research center at Basra University in southern Iraq.
“„“This may happen as we get close to the elections or even after the elections,” he says.
“„Sadr’s followers are confident in taking on the government at the polls, but they are already accusing the government of laying the groundwork for a rigged election that would hand provincial power to the Sadrists’ main rivals, the government-aligned Supreme Islamic Iraqi Council and its own militia, the Badr Brigade.
“„“They know that the Sadrist movement will win in the south,” said a senior official from the main Sadr office in Baghdad who spoke on condition of anonymity. “I don’t think we’re going to have a chance.”
“„“The Sadrist movement used to cover up its illegal actions with the excuse that they were engaged in a political struggle with (ISCI). They can’t say this anymore,” says Badr’s Ameri. “At the end, it’s a struggle between the government and gangs of outlaws that belong to their movement.”