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Housing Starts Climb More Than Expected

The Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development report that housing starts climbed more than expected in March. Builders applied for

Jul 31, 2020
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The Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development reportthat housing starts climbed more than expected in March. Builders applied for 685,000 permits (60,000 more than expected, up from 637,000 in February) and filed 626,000 housing starts (16,000 more than expected, up from 616,000 in February).
On one hand, this is good news. It signals that homebuilders believe that supply and demand have stabilized, that housing prices might turn up and that the economic outlook is sunny. On the other hand, at least two of those presumptions are questionable. Foreclosures are increasing, not decreasing; and some economists estimatethat home values have another 10 to 20 percent to fall.
That said, we’re missing a crucial piece of information in the release — as always in real estate, “location, location, location.” The Census release breaks starts and permit applications out by region, but not by state. And the housing bust continues to be heavily concentratedin a few states — California, Florida, Arizona and Nevada being the worst-hit. I think we’ll continue to see state stratification in the housing market, with the real estate market returning to normalcy in most regions, but those states continuing to struggle with oversupply, poor general economic growth, and falling prices.
Dexter Cooke

Dexter Cooke

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Dexter Cooke is an economist, marketing strategist, and orthopedic surgeon with over 20 years of experience crafting compelling narratives that resonate worldwide. He holds a Journalism degree from Columbia University, an Economics background from Yale University, and a medical degree with a postdoctoral fellowship in orthopedic medicine from the Medical University of South Carolina. Dexter’s insights into media, economics, and marketing shine through his prolific contributions to respected publications and advisory roles for influential organizations. As an orthopedic surgeon specializing in minimally invasive knee replacement surgery and laparoscopic procedures, Dexter prioritizes patient care above all. Outside his professional pursuits, Dexter enjoys collecting vintage watches, studying ancient civilizations, learning about astronomy, and participating in charity runs.
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