NPR Poll Shows Dems in Trouble in Battleground House Races
Results of a poll commissioned by NPR to analyze 60 House districts that elected Democrats and 10 districts that elected Republicans in 2008 look troubling for
Jul 31, 202027K Shares1.6M Views
Results of a poll commissioned by NPRto analyze 60 House districts that elected Democrats and 10 districts that elected Republicans in 2008 look troubling for the majority party as midterm election season approaches.
In Democratic-held districts, just 34 percent of respondents said they would vote to re-elect their representative, while 46 percent said they would vote for someone else. However, in Republican-held districts, 49 percent said they would re-elect their representative while 37 percent said they would vote for someone else.
When read a pair of statements about whether they won’t vote for their representative because Washington needed “new people who will fix Washington and get things done” or will vote for their representative because “[he or she] is doing a good job,” 56 percent of voters in Democratic districts agreed with the first statement, whereas 39 percent of voters in GOP districts agreed with it.
When asked whether they would vote Democratic or Republican, in Democratic districts voters said they would vote GOP 47-42 percent, and in GOP districts went 53-37 in favor of the GOP.
Polling expert Nate Silverof fivethirtyeight.comcommented on the poll, saying it was within the margin of error of generic ballot polling. He continued:
“„Broadly speaking, this poll is consistent with the impression I have had of the House picture for almost a year now, which is that the over/under on the number of net Democratic losses is about 40 seats (i.e. they have about even odds of losing the House), with a 90 percent confidence interval of about +/- 20 seats.
Camilo Wood
Reviewer
Camilo Wood has over two decades of experience as a writer and journalist, specializing in finance and economics. With a degree in Economics and a background in financial research and analysis, Camilo brings a wealth of knowledge and expertise to his writing.
Throughout his career, Camilo has contributed to numerous publications, covering a wide range of topics such as global economic trends, investment strategies, and market analysis. His articles are recognized for their insightful analysis and clear explanations, making complex financial concepts accessible to readers.
Camilo's experience includes working in roles related to financial reporting, analysis, and commentary, allowing him to provide readers with accurate and trustworthy information. His dedication to journalistic integrity and commitment to delivering high-quality content make him a trusted voice in the fields of finance and journalism.
Latest Articles
Popular Articles