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Democrats’ Plummeting Poll Numbers Could Derail Obama’s Agenda

More bad poll numbers are greeting Democrats as they recover from Labor Day barbecues and stump speeches, raising the question of how Democratic incumbents will

Jul 31, 2020
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More bad poll numbers are greeting Democrats as they recover from Labor Day barbecues and stump speeches, raising the question of how Democratic incumbents will respond when Congress resumes next week. Both The Washington Postand The Wall Street Journalshow a wide margin for Republicans over Democrats on a generic ballot, and political handicapper Stu Rothenburg has revised his initial prediction for GOP House seat gains significantly upwards. His new likely scenario shows Republicans capturing between 37 and 42 House seats, meaning the 39 they need to regain the majority is well within their grasp.
Nowhere is the news more glum, notesChris Cillizza at The Fix, than in Ohio, where Republicans have jumped to wide leads in both the Senate and gubernatorial races in the traditional battleground state. A Columbus Dispatch pollshows that the once-close races now have former Rep. John Kasish (R) leading Gov. Ted Strickland (D) 49 percent to 37 percent in the race for governor, while former Rep. Rob Portman (R) is beating out Lt. Gov. Lee Fisher (D) 50 percent to 37 percent for the state’s open Senate seat.
In response, the White House has scheduled some high profile visits to the state, in which at least six House Democrats also face competitive races. Vice President Joe Biden participatedin a Labor Day parade in Toledo with Gov. Strickland yesterday, while President Obama is set to stump fora proposal for new tax cuts for small business owners who create jobs in a speech in the state tomorrow.
It’s clear that the Obama administration would like to pass a number of new stimulus measures between now and midterms. In addition to the small business bill that’s still sitting in the Senate, he’s proposing measuresto shore up the nation’s infrastructure, make an R&D tax credit permanent, and let companies deduct the entire cost of capital investments they make next year.
It’s not clear whether Democrats, fearful of the grim poll numbers, will go along with the president’s agenda. The anti-spending rhetoric from Republicans is so deafening that even bills that are fully paid for, like the Senate small business bill, are having a hard time finding enough support. At the very least, the Democratic leadership will have its hands full keeping the caucus together when it comes to passing further stimulative measures this month.
Paolo Reyna

Paolo Reyna

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Paolo Reyna is a writer and storyteller with a wide range of interests. He graduated from New York University with a Bachelor of Arts in Journalism and Media Studies. Paolo enjoys writing about celebrity culture, gaming, visual arts, and events. He has a keen eye for trends in popular culture and an enthusiasm for exploring new ideas. Paolo's writing aims to inform and entertain while providing fresh perspectives on the topics that interest him most. In his free time, he loves to travel, watch films, read books, and socialize with friends.
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