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Jobless Claims Fall, Remain High

The number of people filing new claims for jobless benefits fell to 11,000 to 445,000 this week, the Labor Department reported this morning. Economists had

Jul 31, 2020
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The number of people filing new claims for jobless benefits fell to 11,000 to 445,000 this week, the Labor Department reportedthis morning. Economists had expectedclaims to remain around 455,000. But, alas, it is not all sunshine and roses in the labor market.
Initial claims need to fall into the 300,000 range to create a drop in the unemployment rate. The four-week average — a more stable indicator, since the weekly claims tend to jump around — remains above 450,000, at 455,750. That means claims need to subside substantially to imply real economic improvement.
This amounts to another worrying indicator in advance of tomorrow’s major jobs report, when the Department of Labor will release the September unemployment rate. Most economists expect the rate to remain where it is or possibly to inch higher, due to employers’ hesitancy to hire. Yesterday, an independent jobs report indicatedthat private-sector employers shed workers last month, rather than adding them. The government, too, likely shrank payrolls, as state and local governments fired employees to close their budget gaps.
Paolo Reyna

Paolo Reyna

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Paolo Reyna is a writer and storyteller with a wide range of interests. He graduated from New York University with a Bachelor of Arts in Journalism and Media Studies. Paolo enjoys writing about celebrity culture, gaming, visual arts, and events. He has a keen eye for trends in popular culture and an enthusiasm for exploring new ideas. Paolo's writing aims to inform and entertain while providing fresh perspectives on the topics that interest him most. In his free time, he loves to travel, watch films, read books, and socialize with friends.
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